A rule-based system to support carbon resource planning under C&T conditions

Cuiyun Feng, Tingguo Li, Zhiming Chen, Yanchun Pan, M. Zhou
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Abstract

As part of a larger research project, this study addresses issues of risk-based decision-making based on different decision-makers in carbon resource planning for manufacturers under the constraints of C&T, we specify their characterization of behavior, attitude to the C&T program, and design their rule-based expert system (RBS) respectively. we develop discrete-event simulation models for conservative decision-maker and proactive decision-maker to conduct experimental analyzes. More than three years of efforts have been made on extensive literature review and empirical studies (such as site-visits and meetings) to identify the problem and define system models for intended analysis. A baseline model has been implemented with ARENA© and limited experiments were conducted to verify the basic functions. While the preliminary results confirmed with the expectations about the system behavior and validated the original ideas, tremendous work remains in terms of model implementation, modification and experiments.
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建立以规则为基础的系统,支持科技条件下的碳资源规划
作为一个更大的研究项目的一部分,本文研究了在C&T约束下不同决策者在制造商碳资源规划中的风险决策问题,明确了他们的行为特征、对C&T计划的态度,并分别设计了基于规则的专家系统(RBS)。建立了保守型决策者和主动型决策者的离散事件仿真模型进行实验分析。在广泛的文献回顾和实证研究(例如现场访问和会议)方面已经进行了三年多的努力,以确定问题并定义用于预期分析的系统模型。利用ARENA©实现了一个基线模型,并进行了有限的实验来验证基本功能。虽然初步结果证实了对系统行为的预期,验证了最初的想法,但在模型实现、修改和实验方面还有大量的工作要做。
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