Fault Prediction Technology of Power Communication Field based on Fuzzy Petri Net

Dong Shidanjie, Jianglu Yan, L. Yongqing, Yang Chao
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Abstract

In the field of power communication, the current fault prediction technology has the problem of imperfect prediction model, which leads to short prediction distance. This paper designs a field fault prediction technology of power communication based on Fuzzy Petri net. The fault influence degree is measured, the tolerance mechanism is established, the layer by layer propagation mode is obtained, the fault feature types are divided, the prediction model is constructed based on Fuzzy Petri net, and the resource of database is formed. Combined with the fuzzy set theory, the fault prediction process is designed by using subsection exchange ant colony algorithm. The experimental results show that the average distance between the other two prediction technologies and the designed fault prediction technology is 83.662km, 83.339km and 95.864km, respectively, which proves that the fault prediction technology combined with fuzzy Petri net is more suitable for power communication tasks.
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基于模糊Petri网的电力通信领域故障预测技术
在电力通信领域,目前的故障预测技术存在预测模型不完善,导致预测距离较短的问题。本文设计了一种基于模糊Petri网的电力通信现场故障预测技术。测量故障影响程度,建立容错机制,获得逐层传播模式,划分故障特征类型,基于模糊Petri网构建预测模型,形成数据库资源。结合模糊集理论,采用分段交换蚁群算法设计了故障预测过程。实验结果表明,另外两种预测技术与设计的故障预测技术的平均距离分别为83.662km、83.339km和95.864km,证明了结合模糊Petri网的故障预测技术更适合电力通信任务。
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