O. Barndorff-Nielsen, Silja Kinnebrock, N. Shephard
{"title":"Measuring Downside Risk - Realised Semivariance","authors":"O. Barndorff-Nielsen, Silja Kinnebrock, N. Shephard","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1262194","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We propose a new measure of risk, based entirely on downwards moves measured using high frequency data. Realised semivariances are shown to have important predictive qualities for future market volatility. The theory of these new measures is spelt out, drawing on some new results from probability theory.","PeriodicalId":384078,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Other Econometrics: Data Collection & Data Estimation Methodology (Topic)","volume":"64 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2008-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"351","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Other Econometrics: Data Collection & Data Estimation Methodology (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1262194","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 351
Abstract
We propose a new measure of risk, based entirely on downwards moves measured using high frequency data. Realised semivariances are shown to have important predictive qualities for future market volatility. The theory of these new measures is spelt out, drawing on some new results from probability theory.