Measuring Downside Risk - Realised Semivariance

O. Barndorff-Nielsen, Silja Kinnebrock, N. Shephard
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引用次数: 351

Abstract

We propose a new measure of risk, based entirely on downwards moves measured using high frequency data. Realised semivariances are shown to have important predictive qualities for future market volatility. The theory of these new measures is spelt out, drawing on some new results from probability theory.
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衡量下行风险——实现的半方差
我们提出了一种新的风险度量方法,完全基于使用高频数据测量的向下移动。已实现的半方差对未来市场波动具有重要的预测特性。利用概率论的一些新结果,阐述了这些新措施的理论。
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