DEVELOPMENT OF A MODEL TO PREVENT DROUGHT OF LAKE MEAD WATER RESERVOIR

Abstract

. Climate change has been a prominent subject in recent decades as it silently alters our lives. Droughts have become more common, resulting in the decrease of the Lake Mead water reservoir in the United States. To keep track of the situation, we’ll need to simulate the trend in elevation, surface area, and volume, which collectively define the water level. To combat the drought, we’ll need to develop drought criteria for Lake Mead, as well as feasible programs and techniques for measuring the impact. In this paper, we will finally develop a time series model to predict the water level and help people and government to prepare in advance for the drought period.