Application Research of Lightning Monitoring Data in Regional Lightning Disaster Risk Assessment

B. Xiao, Ma Duanzhu, Liping Dai, Haocen Li, Zaihua Guo, Jinbao Liu
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In this paper, lightning distribution data is used to analyze the lightning distribution characteristics of the region. Based on this, a method of regional lightning disaster risk assessment is given, which builds a three-tier hierarchical structure model and analyzes each risk index which respectively from four aspects such as the lightning risk, the region risk, the hazard-affected bodies risk and defense risk, simultaneously applies the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to make predictive evaluation of the lightning risk grade in a region. Regional lightning disaster risk assessment method uses the fuzzy mathematics knowledge to analyze and calculate, calculate the membership degree matrix of each index, and the weight of each index is determined by the fuzzy judgment matrix sorting method, and makes fuzzy comprehensive evaluations about the three levels. Finally an actual project is evaluated using the regional lightning disaster risk assessment method. The practical application shows that, the method can give decision-making guidance for project location, classification of lightning risk and measures to avoid the thunder.
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雷电监测数据在区域雷电灾害风险评估中的应用研究
本文利用雷电分布数据分析了该地区雷电分布特征。在此基础上,提出了一种区域雷电灾害风险评价方法,该方法构建了三层层次结构模型,分别从雷电风险、区域风险、受灾体风险和防御风险四个方面对各风险指标进行了分析,同时应用模糊综合评价法对区域雷电灾害风险等级进行了预测评价。区域雷击灾害风险评价方法利用模糊数学知识进行分析计算,计算出各指标的隶属度矩阵,并采用模糊判断矩阵排序法确定各指标的权重,对三个层次进行模糊综合评价。最后利用区域雷击灾害风险评估方法对一个实际工程进行了评估。实际应用表明,该方法可以为工程选址、雷击风险分类和防雷措施提供决策指导。
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