Time-Variation in the Exchange Rate Exposure of Swiss Firms

Lars Kabitz
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Abstract

This study measures the exchange rate exposure of Swiss firms for its most relevant currencies and assesses its time-variation. I find that the firm-level exposure varies considerably over time. Differences in operational possibilities to mitigate the exposure cannot explain this variance, while some macroeconomic variables are able to capture the time-variation at least partly. I further show that volatility in exposures reduces the hedging effectiveness and leads thus to wrong decisions with regard to hedging activities. Trying to hedge an asset exposed to exchange rate movements can increase the variance of its returns rather than decreasing it.
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瑞士企业汇率风险敞口的时变分析
本研究测量了瑞士公司对其最相关货币的汇率敞口,并评估了其时间变化。我发现,随着时间的推移,公司层面的风险敞口变化很大。减轻风险敞口的操作可能性的差异不能解释这种差异,而一些宏观经济变量能够至少部分地反映时间变化。我进一步表明,风险敞口的波动性降低了套期保值的有效性,从而导致了有关套期保值活动的错误决策。试图对冲一项受汇率变动影响的资产,可能会增加而不是减少其回报的差异。
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