Understanding Japanese Household Portfolios

Kosuke Aoki, Alexander Michaelides, Kalin Nikolov
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Abstract

Why do Japanese households hold so few stocks? We use a quantitative
life-cycle portfolio choice model to argue in favour of two main explanations.
First, households have a very low level of trust in the stock market due to
Japan's history of poor corporate governance. Second, stock returns to
individual stockholders have been low. Before 1990, this was due to excessive
fees and commissions. Since the 1990 financial crisis, the Japanese market
itself has delivered low and volatile returns. Counterfactual analysis
suggests that, if sustained, recent improvements in corporate governance and
economic performance should lead to higher stock market participation.
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了解日本家庭投资组合
为什么日本家庭持有的股票如此之少?我们使用定量生命周期投资组合选择模型来支持两种主要解释。首先,由于日本糟糕的公司治理历史,家庭对股票市场的信任度非常低。其次,个人股东的股票回报一直很低。在1990年之前,这是由于过高的费用和佣金。自1990年金融危机以来,日本市场本身的回报率一直很低,而且波动很大。反事实分析认为,如果持续下去,近期公司治理和经济表现的改善应该会导致更高的股市参与度。
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