Application of Decision Tree Model in Mass Land Valuation: A Case Study in Vung Tau City

Nguyen Huu Cuong
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Abstract

Land valuation is one of many important tasks in land use and management. In order to be objective and scientific in land valuation, it is necessary to identify factors affecting land price and quantify the relationship between land feature factors and land value. The goal of the study is to apply the decision-tree regression model to build mass land pricing models in Vung Tau city. The decision-tree regression model is applied in land valuation by determining the relationship between a combination of land feature factors and corresponding averaged land price. Research on building the land pricing model with independent variables includes business density, area, road types, business activities and road width based on 883 survey samples. The final result of this tree model was categorized into 51 divided groups, and pruned trees included 15 divided groups. The importance of the independent variables, namely, business density, region, road level, business activities and road width are 100%, 83.48%, 78.87%, 58.78% and 10.03% respectively. The interpretation rate of the independent variables to the formation of land price model is 86%. The decision-tree regression model suggests another approach to land valuation theory.  
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决策树模型在大规模土地估价中的应用——以云头市为例
土地估价是土地利用和管理中的一项重要工作。为了客观、科学地进行土地价值评估,有必要识别影响地价的因素,量化土地特征因素与土地价值的关系。本研究的目的是将决策树回归模型应用于云头市大规模土地定价模型的建立。决策树回归模型通过确定土地特征因子组合与相应的平均地价之间的关系,应用于土地价值评估。基于883个调查样本,构建了包含商业密度、面积、道路类型、商业活动、道路宽度等自变量的土地定价模型。该树模型的最终结果分为51个划分组,其中修剪后的树分为15个划分组。自变量商业密度、区域、道路水平、商业活动、道路宽度的重要性分别为100%、83.48%、78.87%、58.78%和10.03%。自变量对地价模型形成的解释率为86%。决策树回归模型为土地估价理论提供了另一种思路。
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