Optimal Trading Strategy of Coordinating Electricity Purchase in Monthly Electricity Market and Day-ahead Market Based on CVaR

Yingchun Feng, Tianyu Li, Ciwei Gao, Tao Chen, Xuesong Li, Yu Jiang
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Abstract

The new round of power system reform has been carried out in China since 2015. At present, China’s mediumand long-term electricity market has been basically established, but the spot market is still in the stage of exploration. As the organizers of the current power market, the grid companies have to reasonably arrange the purchase of electricity in electricity market of different time scale. In this paper, a risk-based optimization model is proposed to reasonably arrange electricity trading in monthly electricity market and the day-ahead market in order to guarantee the balance of supply and demand, and to connect the electricity markets of different time scales. CVaR is introduced to analyze the risk of forecasting error. The illustrative cases are introduced to verify the effectiveness of the strategy. The paper provides a reference for the organizers to coordinate the electricity purchasing plan in monthly electricity market and the day-ahead market.
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基于CVaR的月电力市场和日前市场协调购电的最优交易策略
2015年以来,中国开始了新一轮电力体制改革。目前,中国中长期电力市场已基本建立,但现货市场仍处于探索阶段。作为当前电力市场的组织者,电网公司必须在不同时间尺度的电力市场中合理安排购电。本文提出了一个基于风险的优化模型,合理安排月度电力市场和日前市场的电力交易,以保证供需平衡,并将不同时间尺度的电力市场连接起来。引入CVaR对预测误差风险进行分析。通过实例验证了该策略的有效性。为组织单位协调月电量市场和日前电量市场的购电计划提供参考。
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