Research on Prediction of Housing Prices Based on GA-PSO-BP Neural Network Model: Evidence from Chongqing, China

Ziyi Sun, Jing Zhang
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Since 2000, the real estate industry has experienced rapid development, and at the same time, it has driven the rapid growth of housing prices, and the trend of housing prices has attracted attention. This paper integrates genetic algorithm and particle swarm algorithm to optimize BP neural network, and establishes a housing price prediction model based on mixed genetic particle swarm BP neural network. The average data of housing prices in Chongqing, China from 2000 to 2020 and several main factors affecting the trend of housing prices were selected as experimental data. Through the training and simulation prediction based on the mixed particle swarm BP neural network, the error between the predicted value and the actual value was within 0.5%, the validity and accuracy of the model are proved. At the same time, this paper predicts the average price of residential commercial housing in Chongqing in 2021, which provides a reference for the government’s macro-control and sellers to carry out residential commercial housing.
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基于GA-PSO-BP神经网络模型的房价预测研究——以重庆市为例
2000年以来,房地产业经历了高速发展的同时,带动了房价的快速增长,房价走势备受关注。结合遗传算法和粒子群算法对BP神经网络进行优化,建立了基于混合遗传粒子群BP神经网络的房价预测模型。选取2000 - 2020年中国重庆房价平均数据及影响房价走势的几个主要因素作为实验数据。通过基于混合粒子群BP神经网络的训练和仿真预测,预测值与实际值的误差在0.5%以内,证明了模型的有效性和准确性。同时,本文对2021年重庆市住宅商品房均价进行预测,为政府宏观调控和卖家开展住宅商品房提供参考。
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