Model persamaan simultan ekspor netto di Indonesia

Juliansyah Roy
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Abstract

This study aimed to: (1) determine the effect of interest rates and government spending on investment in Indonesia, (2) determine the effect of investment on exports in Indonesia, (3) determine the effect of interest rates and government spending on net exports through investment in Indonesia. The method of analysis used is a structural equation model. By using structural equation model analysis and analysis results show that: (1) Interest rates and government spending while investing significant effect on the form of relationship, interest rates have a negative influence, while government spending is positive on investment, (2) Based on the analysis obtained that investment has positive and significant impact on net exports, (3) the interest rate and government spending have a significant effect indirectly through the investment of net exports. Based on the form of relationship, whereas a negative interest rate effect of government spending has a positive effect.
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本研究旨在:(1)确定利率和政府支出对印尼投资的影响,(2)确定投资对印尼出口的影响,(3)确定利率和政府支出对印尼投资净出口的影响。分析方法采用结构方程模型。通过结构方程模型分析,分析结果表明:(1)利率与政府支出同时对投资产生显著影响的关系形式,利率对投资产生负向影响,而政府支出对投资产生正向显著影响;(2)根据分析得出投资对净出口产生正向显著影响;(3)利率与政府支出通过投资间接对净出口产生显著影响。基于形式关系,而负利率效应对政府支出具有正效应。
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