Research on used car price prediction based on random forest and LightGBM

Yashi Li, Yuxuan Li, Yuexi Liu
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

In recent years, while the scale of the used car market has been expanding, the price evaluation system of my country's second-hand car market has exposed the problem that it does not meet the market demand. Accurate used car price prediction can help people make correct decisions and avoid the wanton price tag of used cars in the market as much as possible. This paper uses the random forest and LightGBM algorithms to predict the price of used cars and compares and analyzes the prediction results. The experiments found that the relevant evaluation indicators of the random forest and LightGBM models are as follows: MSE is 0.0373 and 0.0385 respectively; MAE is 0.125 and 0.117 respectively; The R square of prediction is 0.936 and 0.933 respectively. Among the two prediction models, the prediction error of the LightGBM model is smaller, and it can be considered to be applied to other fields in future research.
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基于随机森林和LightGBM的二手车价格预测研究
近年来,在二手车市场规模不断扩大的同时,我国二手车市场的价格评估体系暴露出与市场需求不相适应的问题。准确的二手车价格预测可以帮助人们做出正确的决策,尽可能地避免市场上二手车的肆意标价。本文采用随机森林和LightGBM算法对二手车价格进行预测,并对预测结果进行对比分析。实验发现,随机森林模型和LightGBM模型的相关评价指标为:MSE分别为0.0373和0.0385;MAE分别为0.125和0.117;预测的R平方分别为0.936和0.933。在两种预测模型中,LightGBM模型的预测误差较小,在未来的研究中可以考虑将其应用于其他领域。
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