Japan's ten million program: The paradox of statistical success

P. Burns
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

This paper is based on the assumption that there are many things that can be determined from the history of tourism as a general social and economic phenomenon. There is clearly something to be gained from understanding something of the history of outbound tourism from the world's most economically advanced country: Japan. This may be to do with a unique aspect of the political manipulation of international tourism; the way in which outbound tourism was geared for growth as a high profile ‘export substitution’ strategy for allaying criticisms about Japan's growing trade imbalance with the rest of the world while at the same time on the domestic front allowing the government to be seen to be doing something about the quality of life for its citizens. This paper traces the history of the particular policy known as the ‘Ten Million Program’ and identifies a paradox in that while the Ministry of Transport's 5 year plan for ‘doubling the annual number of tourists going abroad’ was achieved in a raw statistical sense, the other important aspect, that of changing cultural attitudes towards leisure and time off from work remains something of a paradox.
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日本千人计划:统计成功的悖论
本文基于这样一个假设,即旅游业的历史作为一种普遍的社会和经济现象,可以确定很多事情。了解一下世界上经济最发达的国家——日本的出境游历史,显然会有所收获。这可能与国际旅游业的政治操纵的一个独特方面有关;出境游是一种高调的“出口替代”战略,旨在缓解外界对日本与世界其他地区日益严重的贸易不平衡的批评,同时在国内方面,让人们看到政府正在为提高国民的生活质量做些什么。本文追溯了被称为“千万计划”的特殊政策的历史,并确定了一个悖论,即虽然交通运输部的“每年出国游客数量翻一番”的五年计划在原始统计意义上是实现的,但另一个重要方面,即改变对休闲和工作时间的文化态度仍然是一个悖论。
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