Machine Learning Technologies for Bakery Management Decisions

N. Andriyanov, V. Dementiev, A. Tashlinsky, A. Danilov
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Abstract

The paper discusses using Deep Stream technologies in tasks for predicting best locations for deployment the bakeries. Such methods provides the calculation of people going through possible bakery and use convolutional neural networks for detection people and some effective algorithms for counting. The proposed solution allows deploying successful bakeries and keeping money in real production. Furthermore a lot of applied data science models were used for data analysis in these conditions. The paper discusses in detail the regression, factorial, cluster and discriminant analysis on the example of real data on the operation of a chain of bakeries with changes to preserve trade secrets. The analysis made it possible to simplify the decision-making process for managers among many factors. Moreover, the proposed method made it possible to predict profitability when opening a new point and explore various models of its development. Comparison results are provided for 3 models. The choice was made in favor of one of them. This choice resulted in the opening of a profitable bakery with a high profit margin for the retail market. The regression, factor and cluster analysis results show good opportunities to apply the results of the analysis for making management decisions when choosing the location of bakeries.
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面包店管理决策的机器学习技术
本文讨论了在任务中使用Deep Stream技术来预测部署面包店的最佳位置。这种方法提供了通过可能的面包店的人的计算,并使用卷积神经网络进行人的检测和一些有效的算法进行计数。提出的解决方案允许部署成功的面包房并将资金用于实际生产。此外,在这些条件下还使用了大量的应用数据科学模型进行数据分析。本文以某连锁面包房经营的实际数据为例,详细讨论了回归分析、析因分析、聚类分析和判别分析等方法,以保护商业秘密。该分析使管理人员在众多因素中简化决策过程成为可能。此外,所提出的方法还可以在开辟新点时预测盈利能力,并探索其发展的各种模式。给出了3种模型的比较结果。选择对他们中的一个有利。这一选择导致了一家利润丰厚的面包店的开业,为零售市场带来了高利润率。回归分析、因子分析和聚类分析结果表明,分析结果很有可能应用于面包店选址时的管理决策。
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