Passenger flow forecast of railway station based on improved LSTM

Kaibei Peng, W. Bai, Liuyi Wu
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

To solve the problem that the traditional neural network model lacks the ability to predict the complex nonlinear data, this paper constructed a short-term passenger flow prediction model based on the improved LSTM. Taking the AFC data of Beijing West Railway Station as the research object, the neural network model is trained by using the deep learning framework Keras. The prediction results of the improved LSTM network model is compared with BP network model and the standard LSTM network model. The results show that the improved LSTM model has better prediction results. In different periods of weekdays and weekends, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of passenger flow prediction is lower than other models.
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基于改进LSTM的火车站客流预测
为解决传统神经网络模型对复杂非线性数据缺乏预测能力的问题,本文基于改进LSTM构建了短期客流预测模型。以北京西站AFC数据为研究对象,利用深度学习框架Keras对神经网络模型进行训练。将改进LSTM网络模型的预测结果与BP网络模型和标准LSTM网络模型进行了比较。结果表明,改进的LSTM模型具有较好的预测效果。在工作日和周末的不同时段,客流预测的平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)低于其他模型。
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