Behavioral approach to modeling residential mobility in the Prague metropolitan region

Jakub Vorel, D. Franke, Martin Silha
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Residential mobility significantly influences all other urban processes: the real estate market, the location of economic activities and public services. Especially, the residential mobility influences the travel patterns and demand for transportation services. Therefore, modeling residential mobility should be regarded as the precondition for “smart” spatial and transportation planning. Recent approaches to modeling of urban processes regard the urban systems from the perspective of individual human actors, their preferences, decisions and activities. The micro-simulation random utility discrete choice models explicitly represent decision-making processes of individual actors in their individual contexts and allow the residential mobility factors to be analyzed on the level of individual actors. The paper describes the application of experimental microsimulation model on the study of residential mobility in the Prague metropolitan region. It examines existing data from the point of view of availability and suitability for micro-simulation modeling, provides technical guidance for the application of micro-simulation models for scientific research and the practice of urban planning and illustrates possible outcomes of the microsimulation modeling.
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用行为方法模拟布拉格大都市区的住宅流动性
住宅流动性显著影响所有其他城市进程:房地产市场、经济活动和公共服务的位置。特别是居民的流动性影响着人们的出行方式和交通服务需求。因此,住宅流动性建模应被视为“智能”空间和交通规划的前提。最近的城市过程建模方法是从个体人类行为者、他们的偏好、决定和活动的角度来考虑城市系统的。微观模拟随机效用离散选择模型明确表示个体行为者在其个体环境中的决策过程,并允许在个体行为者的层面上分析住宅流动因素。本文介绍了实验微观模拟模型在布拉格大都市区住宅流动性研究中的应用。从微观模拟建模的可用性和适用性角度对现有数据进行了考察,为微观模拟模型在科学研究和城市规划实践中的应用提供了技术指导,并阐述了微观模拟建模可能产生的结果。
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