Western Sahara: deep differences over conflict settlement

Rodolphe Seabstien Pierre Cottier, Maruan Maiuet
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Abstract

The conflict in Western Sahara has been going on for thirty-five years, and neither side has won. The parties to the conflict are in an all-or-nothing logic regarding the outcome of this conflict: Morocco preaches the autonomy of the Sahara as the part of the kingdom, and the Algerians and Saharans from the Frente Polisario waives the demands for autonomy. However, in the absence of a clear victory of one of the participants, the political solution need necessarily include a compromise reflecting the balance of power. In an effort to pacify and develop a region that could become a haven for Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, Washington, Paris and Madrid could support the new Representative of the Secretary-General in finding a solution that could satisfy all parties, giving this result aspects of compromise. Nevertheless, they will have to take into account both the Saharans as a whole and the geostrategic balance of the region. This article discusses the problems of decolonization and interethnic conflicts. This conflict concentrates the opposition of several geopolitical blocs in one place. On the one hand, he opposes two regional powers: Morocco and Algeria. On the other hand, it opposes two blocs consisting of Morocco and Western countries, against Algeria, a traditional ally of Russia, and large African countries such as Nigeria. This article highlights the inadequacy of international organizations. The issue of stabilizing the situation in Western Sahara is even more important today in the context of Islamic terrorism in the Sahel. Terrorism is spreading in economically and politically unstable countries. The question of the independence of Western Sahara or its integration as an autonomous territory within Morocco must be resolved before terrorism intervenes in Sahari affairs.
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西撒哈拉:解决冲突的深刻分歧
西撒哈拉的冲突已经持续了35年,双方都没有获胜。冲突各方对这场冲突的结果持一种要么全有要么全无的逻辑:摩洛哥鼓吹撒哈拉作为王国一部分的自治,而来自波利萨里奥阵线的阿尔及利亚人和撒哈拉人放弃了自治的要求。然而,在没有一个参与者取得明显胜利的情况下,政治解决方案必须包括反映权力平衡的妥协。为了安抚和发展一个可能成为伊斯兰马格里布基地组织避难所的区域,华盛顿、巴黎和马德里可以支持秘书长的新代表寻求一种能够使所有各方满意的解决办法,使这一结果具有妥协的方面。然而,它们必须考虑到整个撒哈拉地区和该地区的地缘战略平衡。本文讨论了非殖民化和种族间冲突的问题。这场冲突把几个地缘政治集团的反对集中在一个地方。一方面,他反对两个地区大国:摩洛哥和阿尔及利亚。另一方面,它反对由摩洛哥和西方国家组成的两个集团,反对俄罗斯的传统盟友阿尔及利亚和尼日利亚等非洲大国。这篇文章突出了国际组织的不足之处。在萨赫勒地区的伊斯兰恐怖主义背景下,稳定西撒哈拉局势的问题今天更加重要。恐怖主义在经济和政治不稳定的国家蔓延。必须在恐怖主义干涉撒哈拉事务之前解决西撒哈拉独立或其作为摩洛哥境内一个自治领土的问题。
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