Detección de patrones de éxito en estudios universitarios de la Universidad Continental

Daniel Moreno, Rocio Matos Barzola, Miguel Yupanqui Alanya
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Abstract

The objective of the study was to detect the success patterns in the university studies of Universidad Continental students from the academic and sociodemographic information collected in the first cycle of studies. The research had a cross-sectional descriptive design, the students were from diverse professional careers that developed their students between 2012 and 2017. For the automated extraction of knowledge the methodology of data mining was used (CRISPDM) and the Clementine software, throught the multilayer perceptron neural network, it was possible to identify the variables that most impact the success and abandonment of university studies, To obtain the decision tree,algorithm C5.0 was applied and for grouping (three groups) the algorithms k-means and TwoStep, and these results were compared using a confusion matrix. The results show that the students that abandoned their university studies did not pass the fifth cycle. The variables that most influence the success of the university studies are: student`s civil status, amount of the pension, marital status of the parents and with whom the student lives in Huancayo. On the other hand, the variables that most influence the abandonment of the studies are , whit whom the student lives, the student marital status, satisfaction with the teacher’s performance and the parent`s marital status. In conclusion, the socio demographic variables are those that have the most predominance over the success and failure of university studies.
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发现大陆大学大学学习的成功模式
该研究的目的是从第一个研究周期收集的学术和社会人口统计信息中发现大学大陆学生在大学学习中的成功模式。该研究采用横断面描述性设计,学生来自2012年至2017年期间发展的不同职业。为了自动提取知识,我们使用了数据挖掘方法(CRISPDM)和Clementine软件,通过多层感知器神经网络,可以识别最影响大学学习成功和放弃的变量。为了获得决策树,我们使用了C5.0算法,并将k-means和TwoStep算法分组(三组),并使用混淆矩阵对这些结果进行比较。结果表明,放弃大学学业的学生没有通过第五个周期。最能影响大学学业成功的变量是:学生的公民身份、养老金数额、父母的婚姻状况以及学生在万卡约的同居对象。另一方面,对学生放弃学业影响最大的变量是:与谁生活、学生的婚姻状况、对教师教学的满意度和父母的婚姻状况。总之,社会人口变量是那些对大学学习的成功和失败有最主要影响的变量。
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