The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Euro Area: Has It Changed with the EMU? A VAR Approach, with Fiscal Policy and Financial Stress Considerations

António Afonso, António Jorge Esteves da Silva
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

We study whether the adoption of the Euro and a single monetary policy have brought about a change in the monetary transmission mechanism and between the interactions of monetary policy, fiscal policy and financial stress in the Euro area. We find that the stylized facts of monetary transmission remain valid, but the response of output and, especially, fiscal and financial stress variables to a monetary policy shock, seems to be stronger in the post-EMU period. Regarding fiscal and financial stress shocks, the inclusion in the post-EMU period of subprime and sovereign debt crises yields, changes, not only in the scale, but also in the patterns of the responses of our model’s main variables.
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欧元区的货币传导机制:是否随欧洲货币联盟而改变?考虑财政政策和金融压力的VAR方法
我们研究欧元和单一货币政策的采用是否带来了欧元区货币传导机制的变化,以及货币政策、财政政策和金融压力之间的相互作用。我们发现,货币传导的风格化事实仍然有效,但产出的反应,特别是财政和金融压力变量对货币政策冲击的反应,似乎在后欧洲货币联盟时期更为强烈。关于财政和金融压力冲击,后欧洲货币联盟时期次贷危机和主权债务危机的收益率不仅在规模上发生了变化,而且在我们模型主要变量的响应模式上也发生了变化。
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