A longitudinal analysis for informativeness of earnings announcements in Borsa Istanbul

Aykut Ahlatçioglu, Nesrin Okay
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Abstract

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to assess the information value of earnings announcements for the 2007–2017 period in Borsa Istanbul. Design/methodology/approach Abnormal volatility (AVOL) and abnormal absolute return (AAR) in the three-day window around the earnings announcement are used as proxies for information content. A pooled regression of AVOL and AAR is conducted to test for the existence of information content and analyze its time trend along with its determinants. Findings The authors find significantly positive AVOL and AAR which shows that earnings have information content for investors during the sample period. Furthermore, both proxies demonstrate a positive time trend after controlling for various firm characteristics and surprise measures. The authors take this as evidence that overall informativeness of earnings has increased over time. The authors observe that this increase is most prevalent for growth companies and earnings announcements with high absolute surprise. This study provides partial support for the hypothesis that value of earnings announcements has increased after an improvement in information dissemination technology with the inception of the online disclosure platform, KAP. Practical implications Understanding information value of earnings announcements is of interest for companies which prepare earnings reports, regulators who set standards on their content and frequency and investors which make investment decisions based on information released at these announcements. Originality/value There had been few non-US studies related to information value of earnings announcements. The overwhelming majority of these are conducted using limited data sets from the latter part of the last century and only analyze annual earnings announcements. The authors aim to shed light on the subject using a broad and recent sample of quarterly earnings announcements from a major emerging market, Turkey.
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Borsa Istanbul公司财报信息的纵向分析
本文的目的是评估Borsa Istanbul 2007-2017年期间盈余公告的信息价值。设计/方法/方法使用收益公告前后三天窗口内的异常波动率(AVOL)和异常绝对收益(AAR)作为信息内容的代理。对AVOL和AAR进行了池回归,以检验信息含量的存在性,并分析其时间趋势及其决定因素。研究结果作者发现显著正的AVOL和AAR,这表明收益具有信息内容的投资者在样本期间。此外,在控制了各种企业特征和惊喜度量后,这两个代理都显示出正的时间趋势。作者以此为证据,证明收入的总体信息量随着时间的推移而增加。作者观察到,这种增长在成长型公司和具有高度绝对惊喜的收益公告中最为普遍。本研究部分支持了盈余公告价值在信息传播技术改进后随着在线披露平台KAP的出现而增加的假设。实际意义了解盈余公告的信息价值对编制盈余报告的公司、对其内容和频率制定标准的监管机构以及根据这些公告中发布的信息做出投资决策的投资者都很有意义。独创性/价值在美国以外,很少有与收益公告的信息价值相关的研究。其中绝大多数是使用上世纪下半叶的有限数据集进行的,并且只分析年度收益公告。作者试图通过对主要新兴市场土耳其最近公布的季度收益的广泛样本来阐明这一主题。
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