The Use of Dominance, Influence, Steadiness and Compliance (DISC) Personality Test in the Assessment of Accidents Likelihood on Offshore Drilling Operations

C. Morais, Ulrico Barini Filho, M. Martins
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Abstract

Brazilian offshore drilling operations are carried out in a highly demanding and complex working environment. The geological characteristics of the most productive Brazilian reservoirs, located on the so-called Pre-Salt basin, actually implies for their exploration the overcoming of water depths greater than 1,500 meters and the construction of wells that can reach up to 7,000 meters of length. In such environment, human reliability plays a primordial role regarding safety issues. On the same token, in the field of risk analysis, the consideration of human behavior holds a unique position and its relevance for the consubstantiation of accidents is widely recognized throughout the literature. Nonetheless, a comprehensive way to model it is still an ongoing effort. In this challenge, human error, understood both as a success or a failure probability, provided the first base for the development of techniques capable to infer the outcome towards man machine interaction (MMI). Such stand point gave birth to a series of tools and methodologies, usually called as human reliability analysis (HRA) first generation tools. In an attempt to address the perceived deficiencies of the first-generation tools, the decade of the 1990’s saw the introduction of HRA models based on cognitive assumptions, naturally called HRA second-generation tools. On its turn, the cognitive modeling perspective has demanded the adoption of more sophisticated architectures that, ultimately, have been leading to the dynamically account of the cognitive process. In this context, the present work aims to contribute for this debate analyzing the use of the Dominance, Influence, Steadiness and Compliance (DISC) personality test in the assessment of accidents likelihood on offshore drilling operations in Brazil. By means of actual data collected during the years 2016 and 2017, the paper develops a qualitative discussion of the foreseen outcomes regarding accident proneness considering the working and the under-pressure profiles advocated on DISC.
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支配、影响、稳定和顺从(DISC)性格测试在海上钻井作业事故可能性评估中的应用
巴西海上钻井作业是在高要求和复杂的工作环境中进行的。巴西最多产的储层位于所谓的盐下盆地,其地质特征实际上意味着勘探需要克服水深超过1500米的问题,并建造长达7000米的井。在这样的环境下,人的可靠性在安全问题上起着首要的作用。同样,在风险分析领域,对人类行为的考虑具有独特的地位,其与事故真实性的相关性在整个文献中得到广泛认可。尽管如此,一个全面的建模方法仍然是一个持续的努力。在这一挑战中,人为错误被理解为成功或失败的概率,为能够推断人机交互(MMI)结果的技术的发展提供了第一个基础。这种观点催生了一系列工具和方法,通常被称为人类可靠性分析(HRA)第一代工具。为了解决第一代工具的缺陷,20世纪90年代出现了基于认知假设的HRA模型,自然被称为HRA第二代工具。反过来,认知建模视角要求采用更复杂的体系结构,最终导致对认知过程的动态描述。在此背景下,本研究旨在为这场辩论做出贡献,分析在巴西海上钻井作业事故可能性评估中使用支配性、影响性、稳定性和依从性(DISC)人格测试。通过2016年和2017年收集的实际数据,本文对考虑DISC所倡导的工作和欠压剖面的事故倾向性的可预见结果进行了定性讨论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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