Examination of Long Term Effect of Exchange Rate on Indian Stock Market

R. Raman, Srindhi
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Abstract

This study investigates the long run relation among Stock Returns and four major Foreign Exchanges in India over a period of 14 ½ year period starting from January, 2000 to June, 2014. On applying the techniques of Unit – root test, Multiple Break Point test, Johansen’s Cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model, the result suggest that US dollar and Euro has long-term relation with Sensex, Nifty and CNX 500 which was found statistically significant. Tests depict no long term cointegration with GPB and Yen.
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汇率对印度股市长期影响的检验
本研究从2000年1月至2014年6月为期14年半的时间里,研究了印度四大外汇交易所股票收益与股票收益率之间的长期关系。运用单位根检验、多重断点检验、约翰森协整和向量误差修正模型等技术,结果表明美元和欧元与Sensex、Nifty和CNX 500指数之间存在长期关系,且具有统计学显著性。测试显示与GPB和Yen没有长期协整。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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