Rainfall Anomaly Index Valuation of Agricultural Production in Jakiri Sub-Division, Northwest Region, Cameroon

Suiven John Paul Tume
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Abstract

This paper aims to evaluate the impact of rainfall variability on agricultural production in Jakiri Sub-Division of the Northwest Region of Cameroon. Previous studies on the impact of climate on agriculture focused on stakeholder signatures to climate change adaptation to the agrarian sector of the Bui Plateau, which revealed that despites glaring consequences of climate, the Jakiri Council only allocates only 1% of its annual budget for climate action. Data sources for this study included the administration of 211 questionnaires to cover the three agro-ecological zones of Jakiri Sub-Division, rainfall data collected from UNVDA Ndop (lowland zone), National Meteorological Service (mid-altitude zone) and the Oku Wildlife Sanctuary (highland zone). The Rainfall Anomaly Index (RAI) was used in analysing rainfall data. Results revealed that rainfall is reducing as depicted by the increasing trends in RAI. Farmers also perceived that food crop production has been decreasing. Despite these perceptions, some crops like cassava that is drought tolerant has been increasing. Again, rice production at the WahsiBer Plain has been increasing. This calls for the development and production of more drought tolerant food crops to ensure sustainable rural livelihoods.
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喀麦隆西北部Jakiri分区农业生产降水异常指数评价
本文旨在评估降雨变率对喀麦隆西北地区Jakiri分区农业生产的影响。先前关于气候对农业影响的研究主要集中在布伊高原农业部门适应气候变化的利益相关者签名上,结果表明,尽管气候变化带来了明显的后果,但Jakiri委员会仅将其年度预算的1%用于气候行动。本研究的数据来源包括对Jakiri分区三个农业生态区211份调查问卷的管理,以及从UNVDA Ndop(低地区)、国家气象局(中海拔区)和Oku野生动物保护区(高地区)收集的降雨数据。降雨异常指数(RAI)用于分析降雨资料。结果表明,降水呈减少趋势,RAI呈增加趋势。农民们还认为粮食作物产量一直在下降。尽管存在这些看法,但木薯等耐旱作物的数量一直在增加。再一次,华盛顿平原的水稻产量一直在增加。这就要求开发和生产更耐旱的粮食作物,以确保可持续的农村生计。
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