Developing land use scenario dynamics using Cellular Automata and agent integrated model

Lim Eng Aik, Tan Wee Choon
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Abstract

An integrated model of Cellular Automata (CA) and Agent is developed to model land use scenario changes and its potential impact on the structure and function in typical region which are helpful to understand the mechanism between land use system and population growth. This model makes a fusion of agent and CA self organization models for flexible computing in order to developed a system of urban land use simulation in Malaysia Kedah state in next 50 years. The system makes three simulations under different scenario to model the land use demand in Kedah by using Agent Integrated module in the system. The results shows that the system have the ability to reflect the complex behaviors of land use system at different scales to some extent and be a useful tool to access the potential impact of land use system on population growth and ecosystem.
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基于元胞自动机和智能体集成模型的土地利用场景动态研究
建立了元胞自动机与Agent的集成模型,对典型区域土地利用情景变化及其对结构和功能的潜在影响进行建模,有助于理解土地利用系统与人口增长之间的关系机制。该模型融合agent和CA自组织模型进行灵活计算,开发了马来西亚吉打州未来50年城市土地利用模拟系统。系统利用Agent集成模块对吉打州土地利用需求进行了三种不同场景下的模拟。结果表明,该系统在一定程度上能够反映土地利用系统在不同尺度上的复杂行为,是了解土地利用系统对人口增长和生态系统潜在影响的有效工具。
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