Time Inconsistent Stochastic Differential Game: Theory and an Example in Insurance

Hong Mao, Zhongkai Wen
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Abstract

In this paper, time-inconsistent model was established under stochastic differential game framework. The investment portfolio includes multi-risky assets, whose returns are assumed to be correlated in a time-varying manner and change cyclically. The claim losses of insurance companies and investment are also assumed to be correlated with each other. The Solution to extended HJBI equations results in the portion of retention and an optimal portfolio with equally weighted allocations of risky assets. An optimal control bound is proposed for monitoring and predicting the optimal wealth level. The proposed model is expected to be effective in making decision for investment and reinsurance strategies, controlling and predicting optimal wealth under uncertain environment. Especially, it can be applied easily in the situation of very high dimensional investment portfolio.
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时间不一致随机微分对策:理论与保险中的一个例子
本文建立了随机微分对策框架下的时间不一致模型。投资组合中包含多风险资产,这些资产的收益被假设为时变相关且周期性变化。同时假设保险公司的理赔损失与投资之间存在一定的相关性。扩展的HJBI方程的解得到保留部分和风险资产等权重配置的最优投资组合。提出了一个最优控制界,用于监测和预测最优财富水平。该模型可用于不确定环境下的投资和再保险策略决策、最优财富控制和预测。特别是,它可以很容易地应用于非常高维的投资组合。
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