Evaluación del nicho ambiental de Lycalopex fulvipes (zorro de Darwin) y la incidencia del cambio climático sobre su distribución geográfica

C. Molina, A. Castillo, Horacio Samaniego
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The distribution of the Darwin fox (L. fulvipes) between the Bio-Bio and Aysenregions in Chile was modeled under two future climate scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5). The most optimistic RCP2.6 model predicts an increase in the range of distribution, contrary to the RCP8.5 model, which shows local extinctions, but habitats gains in areas where this species has not been registered. The results are evaluated with respect to the system of protected areas for this endemic and endangered species in the southern cone of South America.
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达尔文狐(Lycalopex fulvipes)环境生态位评价及气候变化对其地理分布的影响
在两种未来气候情景(RCP2.6和RCP8.5)下,模拟了智利Bio-Bio和Aysenregions地区达尔文狐(L. fulvipes)的分布。最乐观的RCP2.6模型预测了分布范围的增加,与RCP8.5模型相反,RCP8.5模型显示了局部灭绝,但栖息地在该物种未登记的地区增加。研究结果对南美洲南锥地区这种特有和濒危物种的保护区系统进行了评估。
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