Assessment of the Effectiveness of Monitoring the Technical Condition of a Complex Technical Object, Taking Into Account Expert Assessments

S. A. Nesterovich, A. Brezhneva
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Abstract

   The purpose of the research is to develop a method for evaluating the effectiveness of monitoring the technical condition of a complex technical object, taking into account expert assessments.   Methods. Evaluation of the effectiveness of the application of a complex technical object is carried out with the help of appropriate performance indicators that characterize the degree of fulfillment of the tasks assigned to them. When choosing performance indicators, the following basic requirements should be taken into account: the indicator should have a quantitative expression and be calculated simply enough; the indicator should be selected taking into account the specifics of the task being solved and reflect the main characteristics of the phenomenon being evaluated; theindicator should be representative and ensure comparability of the evaluation results by the degree of preference, i. e. to prevent incomparable (indifferent) decisions.   Results. A method for evaluating the effectiveness of monitoring the technical condition of a complex technical object is presented, taking into account an additional expanded information description with qualitative features (expert assessments).   Conclusion. The effectiveness of the control directly depends on the accuracy and completeness of the control. The accuracy of existing control systems is quite high, but the completeness of control does not always take into account qualitative (expert) assessments about the object of control. Improving the efficiency of control systems should go not only at the expense of accuracy and speed, but also at the expense of completeness of control. As a criterion for evaluating the effectiveness of the control system, an assessment of the probability of a functional state of a controlled complex technical object is proposed. The calculation of the effectiveness of the control system is proposed, taking into account the additional expanded information description by qualitative signs (expert assessments) about the object of control. It is shown that it is possible to more accurately assess the operational state of the object of control if the completeness of control is higher, with an irreducible accuracy of control.
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评估监测复杂技术对象的技术状况的有效性,并考虑到专家的评估
本研究的目的是开发一种方法,在考虑专家评估的情况下,评估监测复杂技术对象技术状况的有效性。方法。对复杂技术对象的应用效果的评价是在适当的绩效指标的帮助下进行的,这些指标描述了分配给它们的任务的完成程度。在选择绩效指标时,应考虑以下基本要求:指标应具有定量表达,计算足够简单;指标的选择应考虑到正在解决的任务的具体情况,并反映正在评价的现象的主要特征;该指标应具有代表性,并通过偏好程度确保评价结果的可比性,即防止不可比较(漠不关心)的决策。结果。提出了一种评估复杂技术对象技术状况监测有效性的方法,该方法考虑了具有定性特征(专家评估)的附加扩展信息描述。结论。控制的有效性直接取决于控制的准确性和完整性。现有控制系统的精度相当高,但控制的完整性并不总是考虑到对控制对象的定性(专家)评估。提高控制系统的效率不仅要以精度和速度为代价,而且要以控制的完整性为代价。作为评价控制系统有效性的标准,提出了被控复杂技术对象功能状态概率的评估方法。考虑到控制对象的定性标志(专家评价)的附加扩展信息描述,提出了控制系统有效性的计算方法。结果表明,控制的完备性越高,控制的精度越不可约,就有可能更准确地评估控制对象的运行状态。
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