Minimum Exit Probabilities and Differential Games

W. Fleming, Chun-Ping Tsai
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Abstract

Abstract : The problem considered is that of minimizing the probability that a controlled diffusion process exits from a given region of 'acceptable' states during a given time interval. The controlled diffusion obeys a stochastic differential equation driven by low intensity white noise. An asymptotic estimate of Ventcel-Freidlin type is given for the minimum exit probability. The crucial parameter in this estimate is the lower value of a certain differential game. (Author)
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最小退出概率和微分对策
摘要:考虑的问题是在给定的时间间隔内,控制扩散过程从给定的“可接受”状态区域出现的概率最小化问题。受控扩散服从一个由低强度白噪声驱动的随机微分方程。给出了最小退出概率的渐近估计。这个估计中的关键参数是某个微分对策的较低值。(作者)
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