Monetary Policy When Preferences Are Quasi-Hyperbolic

Richard Dennis, Oleg A. Kirsanov
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Abstract

We study discretionary monetary policy in an economy where economic agents have quasi-hyperbolic discounting. We demonstrate that a benevolent central bank is able to keep inflation under control for a wide range of discount factors. If the central bank, however, does not adopt the household’s time preferences and tries to discourage early-consumption and delayed-saving, then a marginal increase in steady state output is achieved at the cost of a much higher average inflation rate. Indeed, we show that it is desirable from a welfare perspective for the central bank to quasi-hyperbolically discount by more than households do. Welfare is improved because this discount structure emphasizes the current-period cost of price changes and leads to lower average inflation. We contrast our results with those obtained when policy is conducted according to a Taylor-type rule.
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偏好是准双曲线时的货币政策
我们研究了经济主体具有准双曲折现的经济中的自由货币政策。我们证明,一个仁慈的中央银行能够在广泛的贴现因素下控制通货膨胀。然而,如果中央银行不采纳家庭的时间偏好,并试图阻止早期消费和延迟储蓄,那么稳态产出的边际增长将以高得多的平均通胀率为代价。事实上,我们表明,从福利的角度来看,央行比家庭更多地准双曲线贴现是可取的。福利得到改善,因为这种贴现结构强调了价格变动的当期成本,并导致较低的平均通货膨胀。我们将我们的结果与根据泰勒规则执行政策时得到的结果进行了比较。
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