Explaining Unemployment Duration in Australia

Abstract

What influences the probability that someone will leave unemployment? Informed by a search-theoretic framework and allowing for exits to not in the labour force and employment, in this paper I examine what influences the probability that somebody will leave unemployment. The unemployment data used are derived from the retrospective work history information from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia Survey. The results show that variables that increase wage offers and lower reservation wages are associated with shorter unemployment durations, and that exit rates from unemployment appear to remain steady initially with duration before declining relatively sharply.