Renewable energy access in Rwanda: Electricity Price Forecasting

Wang Yongli, Jeanne baptiste Niyigena, Vedaste Ndayishimiye
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Abstract

Africa has very little electricity supply yet endowed with abundant renewable energy sources (RES). According to the 2014 World Bank series on energy and extractive industries, Rwanda has very low electrification levels. She has renewable energy potential for solar, hydro, methane gas, biomass, geothermal energy and currently investigations on wind is underway. Rwanda still boosts low access to electricity and high electricity prices compared to her neighboring countries. This paper proposes a new electricity pricing model that can be used to forecast the price in the Rwandan electricity market that is projected to be dominated with RES. In this research, the fuzzy logic model is applied to show that the price of electricity can be reduced to a significant extend.
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卢旺达的可再生能源使用:电价预测
非洲电力供应很少,但拥有丰富的可再生能源(RES)。根据2014年世界银行关于能源和采掘业的系列报告,卢旺达的电气化水平非常低。她拥有太阳能、水力、甲烷气、生物质能、地热能等可再生能源的潜力,目前正在对风能进行调查。与邻国相比,卢旺达的电力供应仍然很低,电价也很高。本文提出了一种新的电价模型,可用于预测res主导的卢旺达电力市场的电价。在本研究中,应用模糊逻辑模型表明电价可以显著降低。
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