Patterns of Covid19 spread in India

Sreshta R. Putchala, Vanitha Guda
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

We have analyzed the COVID19 epidemic data for India and some of its states between March 10 till October 3, 2020. The behavior amongst various parameters and their patterns are studied. We modeled the distributions of various epidemic parameters through multiple techniques such as generalized linear models and SIR. We found that different states are at different stages of the pandemic life-cycle. Our analysis seems to suggest India is not yet gone past its first wave. Given this reality, mitigation measures such as social distancing, wearing masks, cleaning hands can not be overemphasized. We also found that India and states' pandemic behavior varies by a wide margin due to various practices and policies. © 2021 Author(s).
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2019冠状病毒病在印度的传播模式
我们分析了2020年3月10日至10月3日期间印度及其部分邦的covid - 19疫情数据。研究了各参数之间的行为及其模式。我们通过广义线性模型和SIR等多种技术对各种流行病参数的分布进行了建模。我们发现,不同的状态处于流行病生命周期的不同阶段。我们的分析似乎表明,印度尚未度过第一波浪潮。在这种情况下,保持社会距离、戴口罩、洗手等缓解措施再怎么强调也不为过。我们还发现,由于各种做法和政策,印度和各州的流行病行为差异很大。©2021作者。
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