Bank failure risk: A study on Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and Silvergate Capital Corporations

Çağrı Hamurcu
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Abstract

Abstract This study investigates whether the ratio of long-term investment to total assets, the ratio of cash on hand to total assets, and the ratio of price-to-earnings are risk indicators for bank failures. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Signature Bank, and Silvergate Capital Corp., which experienced bank failure, and banks that are among the 20 largest banks in the USA are analyzed with the panel data method. Analyses were made using quarterly data between 2003Q4 and 2022Q4. It is revealed that the long-term investment to total assets ratio increases the bank failure risk. The risk of bank failure varies negatively with the cash on hand to total assets ratio. Bank failure risk rises as the price-to-earnings ratio rises. In terms of revealing the factors influencing the risk of bank failure and possible consequences, it is expected that the findings obtained could contribute to the literature.
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银行倒闭风险:硅谷银行、签名银行和银门资本公司的研究
摘要本研究考察长期投资占总资产的比率、手头现金占总资产的比率和市盈率是否为银行倒闭的风险指标。采用面板数据法,对经历过银行倒闭的硅谷银行(SVB)、Signature Bank、Silvergate Capital Corp以及美国20大银行中的银行进行分析。使用2003年第四季度至2022年第四季度的季度数据进行分析。结果表明,长期投资占总资产的比例增加了银行倒闭风险。银行破产的风险与手头现金与总资产比率呈负相关。随着市盈率的上升,银行倒闭的风险也在上升。在揭示影响银行倒闭风险的因素和可能的后果方面,期望获得的研究结果能够对文献有所贡献。
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