The importance of a realistic leakage evaluation to support public awareness and acceptance for carbon capture and storage

Andreas Busch
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Abstract

Carbon Capture and Storage is not only highly recommended by the IPCC as a mechanism to significantly lower carbon emissions to the atmosphere, it is now also gaining traction in terms of large-scale implementation. Its importance is increasing in many parts of the world to directly decrease emissions from industrial sources, but also to lower the carbon footprint of blue hydrogen production.With most CCS projects being planned for offshore locations, public acceptance is less of a determining factor than it used to be 10-20 years ago, where discussions were rather for onshore locations. CO2 leakage has always been a risk highlighted in the public debate, while no or minimal leakage has been reported for current CCS projects worldwide. However, as scientific community, we need to realistically highlight the risk of leakage across sealing units for CO2 stored to inform various stakeholders like regulators, the public and of course also operating companies.Caprock leakage needs to be studied across various length and time scales, considering the undisturbed matrix as well as fracture networks and faults; we need to consider advective and diffusive flow and transport and incorporate mineral alterations, potentially leading to changes in hydraulic or mechanical properties.This talk will highlight the current state of research, advancements and future research required for a realistic evaluation of caprock leakage. It will be based on past research related to matrix transport as well as current research focusing on single and multiphase flow along faults and fractures.
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现实的泄漏评估对于支持公众对碳捕获和封存的认识和接受的重要性
碳捕集与封存不仅被政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)大力推荐为一种显著降低大气碳排放的机制,而且在大规模实施方面也获得了吸引力。在世界许多地方,它的重要性日益增加,不仅可以直接减少工业排放,还可以降低蓝色氢生产的碳足迹。由于大多数CCS项目都计划在海上进行,与10-20年前相比,公众的接受程度已不再是一个决定性因素,当时的讨论主要集中在陆上。二氧化碳泄漏一直是公众争论的焦点,而目前全球范围内的CCS项目没有或只有很少的泄漏报告。然而,作为科学界,我们需要现实地强调封存二氧化碳的密封单元的泄漏风险,以告知监管机构、公众,当然还有运营公司等各种利益相关者。盖层泄漏需要在不同长度和时间尺度上进行研究,同时考虑未受干扰的基质以及裂缝网络和断层;我们需要考虑平流和扩散流动和运输,并纳入可能导致水力或机械性能变化的矿物变化。本次演讲将重点介绍目前的研究现状、进展和未来需要进行的盖层泄漏的现实评估。它将基于过去与基质输运相关的研究以及当前侧重于沿断层和裂缝的单相和多相流动的研究。
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