Multi-Criteria Information Fusion for Storm Prediction Based on Belief Functions

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to present a general methodology for storm risk assessment and prediction based on several physical criteria thanks to the belief functions framework to deal with conflicting meteorological information. For this, we adapt the Soft ELECTRE TRI (SET) approach to this storm context and we show how to use it on outputs of atmospheric forecast model, given an estimate of the state of the atmosphere in a future time. This work could also serve as a benchmark for other methods dealing with multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) support and conflicting information fusion.