Public Opinion Polls and Experts in Election News

Guðbjörg Hildur Kolbeins
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Abstract

By employing the theoretical framework of framing, the present paper attempts to examine the Icelandic media’s coverage of the 2013 parliamentary election by paying particular attention to coverage of public opinion polls and the policies of the political parties, i.e. the “horse-race” frame and the issue frame, and to examine media’s reliance on experts for interpretation of election news. Seven online news media, two newspapers, two radio stations and two television channels were monitored for 25 days prior to Election Day, i.e. from April 2 to April 26, 2013, - resulting in 1377 election news stories. The findings show, for example, that 29.8% of all the election news stories had public opinion polls as their primary angle while 12% of the stories were primarily issue-oriented. In addition, the media rely on experts for interpretation of the polls; five of the 10 most interviewed or quoted sources on public opinion surveys were political science experts who were affiliated with universities. Finally, news coverage of polls was generally amplified as media outlets had a tendency to report on public opinion polls that were commissioned by other media.
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民意调查和选举新闻专家
本文采用框架的理论框架,试图考察冰岛媒体对2013年议会选举的报道,特别关注民意调查和政党政策的报道,即“赛马”框架和问题框架,并考察媒体对专家解释选举新闻的依赖。7家网络新闻媒体、两家报纸、两家广播电台和两家电视频道在选举日之前的25天内(即2013年4月2日至4月26日)被监测,产生了1377条选举新闻。例如,调查结果显示,29.8%的选举新闻报道以民意调查为主要视角,而12%的报道主要以问题为导向。此外,媒体依靠专家来解读民意调查结果;在民意调查中被采访或引用最多的10位消息来源中,有5位是大学附属的政治学专家。最后,由于媒体倾向于报道其他媒体委托进行的民意调查,民意调查的新闻报道通常被放大。
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