A hybrid approach to fuzzy risk analysis in stock market

Shigang Liu, M. Gan, H. Dai
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The analysis and prediction of stock market has always been well recognized as a difficult problem due to the level of uncertainty and the factors that affect the price. To tackle this challenge problem, this paper proposed a hybrid approach which mines the useful information utilizing grey system and fuzzy risk analysis in stock prices prediction. In this approach, we firstly provide a model which contains the fuzzy function, k-mean algorithm and grey system (shorted for FKG), then provide the model of fuzzy risk analysis (FRA). A practical example to describe the development of FKG and FRA in stock market is given, and the analytical results provide an evaluation of the method which shows promote results.
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股票市场模糊风险分析的混合方法
由于股票市场的不确定性和影响价格的因素,股票市场的分析和预测一直是公认的难题。为了解决这一难题,本文提出了一种利用灰色系统和模糊风险分析在股价预测中挖掘有用信息的混合方法。在该方法中,我们首先建立了一个包含模糊函数、k-均值算法和灰色系统(简称FKG)的模型,然后给出了模糊风险分析(FRA)模型。最后给出了FKG和FRA在股票市场发展的一个实例,分析结果对该方法进行了评价,取得了良好的效果。
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