Price and advertising based information forecast in direct market

Shuying Sun
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Abstract

The focus of this paper is information forecast value and the profound impact it has in today's market. When a firm sells its new product through the direct market, the accuracy of marketing forecast information plays important impact on price and advertising spending, and thus expected profits. We develop a price-advertising model to see how the effect of marketing forecast information on the price and advertising spending, and expected profit are moderated by product quality, product acceptance of a direct market, and the customers' preference, respectively. Research results suggest that forecast information precision is more valuable when product quality is high and product acceptance of a direct market is large. It also suggest that the customers' preference does not affect the value of information at all.
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直接市场的价格和广告信息预测
本文的研究重点是信息预测价值及其在当今市场上的深远影响。当企业通过直接市场销售新产品时,营销预测信息的准确性对价格和广告支出产生重要影响,从而影响预期利润。我们开发了一个价格广告模型,以了解营销预测信息对价格和广告支出的影响,以及预期利润如何分别受到产品质量、直接市场对产品的接受程度和客户偏好的调节。研究结果表明,当产品质量高、直接市场对产品的接受程度大时,预测信息精度更有价值。这也表明顾客的偏好根本不影响信息的价值。
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