ASSESSMENT OF THERMAL AND NATURAL MOISTURE PROVISION IN TERRITORY OF TURKESTAN REGION OF THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN IN CHANGING CLIMATE CONDITIONS

Z. Mustafayev, A.B. Tuletayev, А.А. Kuderin
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Abstract

The assessment of natural moisture availability of the natural areas of the Turkestan region of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 1941­2020 (by providing a comparative analysis of indicators for 1941­1960 and 2001­2020) was conducted based on the use of the natural moisture coefficient and hydrothermal index or “dryness index” predicated on energy resources (total of biologically active air temperatures above 10 °С, photosynthetically active radiation, evaporating capacity and water consumption of agricultural land). The results of a comparative analysis of climatic indices changes in the natural areas of the Turkestan region for 1941 to 2020 have shown that there is an increase in average annual air temperatures in all natural areas, and the annual precipitation tends downward which affects the formation of energy resources and natural water supply. The identified features of changes in the natural moisture coefficient and hydrothermal index or “dryness index” in natural area of Turkestan region, make it possible to adjust the spread of its boundaries and consider these changes in the territorial organization of agricultural nature management.
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气候变化条件下哈萨克斯坦共和国突厥斯坦地区境内热能和自然水分供应的评估
通过对1941-1960年和2001-2020年的指标进行比较分析,对哈萨克斯坦共和国突厥斯坦地区自然区域1941-2020年的天然水分有效性进行了评估,评估基于自然水分系数和热液指数或基于能源的“干燥指数”(10°以上生物活性空气温度总量С、光合有效辐射、农业用地蒸发量和耗水量)。对1941 - 2020年突厥斯坦地区自然区气候指数变化的对比分析结果表明,所有自然区年平均气温均呈上升趋势,年降水量呈下降趋势,影响了能源资源的形成和自然供水。通过识别突厥斯坦地区自然区域的自然水分系数和水热指数或“干燥指数”的变化特征,可以调整其边界的扩展,并在农业自然管理的地域组织中考虑这些变化。
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