A new model for estimating in-hospital mortality in patients with pulmonary embolism: PATHOS score

H. Alışkan, Mazlum Kılıç
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Abstract

Aims: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a major contributor to the death rate associated with cardiovascular diseases. The objective of this research is to evaluate the efficacy of the PATHOS score in predicting in-hospital mortality in patients diagnosed with pulmonary embolism (PE) in emergency departments (ED). Methods: The data of patients who were visited in the ED of a third-level healthcare facility, and diagnosed with PE between 2022 and 2023 were analyzed. To examine the value of the PATHOS score in predicting mortality, through the use of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, the Area Under the Curve (AUC) was determined. Results: The study was completed with 111 patients. Of these patients, 52 (46.8%) were male and 59 (53.2%) were female. The mean age of the patients was 67.67±16.49. When the cut-off value of PATHOS score in identifying in-hospital mortality was >2, the sensitivity was 70.8%, the specificity was 71.3%, and the positive predictive value was 41.2% and the negative predictive value was 81.9%. Conclusion: In this study, we concluded that the PATHOS score may be an effective tool for in-hospital mortality estimation of patients diagnosed with PE in the ED. However, this score needs further evaluation in large-scale and multicenter studies.
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估计肺栓塞患者住院死亡率的新模型:PATHOS评分
目的:肺栓塞(PE)是心血管疾病相关死亡率的主要原因。本研究的目的是评估PATHOS评分在预测急诊科(ED)诊断为肺栓塞(PE)患者住院死亡率方面的有效性。方法:对2022 ~ 2023年在某三级医疗机构急诊科就诊并诊断为PE的患者资料进行分析。为了检验PATHOS评分在预测死亡率方面的价值,通过使用受试者工作特征(ROC)分析,确定曲线下面积(AUC)。结果:111例患者完成研究。其中男性52例(46.8%),女性59例(53.2%)。患者平均年龄67.67±16.49岁。当PATHOS评分识别院内死亡的临界值>2时,敏感性为70.8%,特异性为71.3%,阳性预测值为41.2%,阴性预测值为81.9%。结论:在本研究中,我们得出结论,PATHOS评分可能是估计急诊科PE患者住院死亡率的有效工具。然而,该评分需要在大规模和多中心研究中进一步评估。
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