The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic and the Development of Technology and Robots on Jobs

A. Masoud, R. Dehnavieh, V. Y. Feyzabadi, Sara Poursheikhali, Somayeh Noori Hekmat, Mina Ghasemi Moghadam, Mohammad Kazemi
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Abstract

Background: The prevalence of COVID-19 has had a devastating economic impact on countries, leading to reduction of many jobs. Earlier, the advent of technology and robotics had been the source of much concern and analysis about the future of jobs. The present study aims to investigate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the emergence and development of technology and robots on jobs and compare them with each other. Methods: The present study was conducted qualitatively. Data collection was done by holding two expert panels. The experts were purposefully selected from different universities in Iran. Findings from the expert panel were analyzed using the content analysis technique. Erlingsson's approach was used for content analysis. Results: The effects of the advent of technology and robots and the effects of the COVID-19 outbreak on jobs were examined from seven aspects, including economic, social, political, the impact on developed and developing countries, health, education, and workforce skills. The effects of the advent of technology and robots on jobs can vary depending on the two scenarios of interaction or substitution. The effects of the COVID-19 outbreak on jobs can also be in line with different scenarios with the emergence of technology and robots in some respects. Conclusion: The possible conformity of economic and social systems in gradual changes faces fewer challenges, while conditions like pandemics have few opportunities to adapt to new situations. Increasing flexibility with a preemptive approach and not just based on the existing scenarios are necessary to deal with these situations.
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COVID-19大流行以及技术和机器人的发展对就业的影响
背景:COVID-19的流行给各国带来了毁灭性的经济影响,导致许多就业岗位减少。早些时候,科技和机器人技术的出现引发了人们对未来工作的担忧和分析。本研究旨在调查新冠肺炎大流行以及技术和机器人的出现和发展对工作的影响,并进行比较。方法:本研究采用定性方法。数据收集是通过召开两个专家小组来完成的。这些专家是从伊朗不同的大学中精心挑选出来的。使用内容分析技术对专家小组的调查结果进行分析。Erlingsson的方法被用于内容分析。结果:从经济、社会、政治、对发达国家和发展中国家的影响、卫生、教育和劳动力技能等七个方面考察了技术和机器人的出现对就业的影响以及COVID-19疫情对就业的影响。技术和机器人的出现对工作的影响取决于交互或替代这两种情况。随着技术和机器人的出现,新冠肺炎疫情对就业的影响在某些方面也可能与不同的情景相一致。结论:经济和社会制度在渐进变化中可能的一致性面临的挑战较少,而流行病等条件几乎没有机会适应新情况。要处理这些情况,必须以先发制人的方式增加灵活性,而不仅仅是基于现有的方案。
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