Crude oil price-exchange rate nexus in Pakistan

F. Iqbal, A. Raziq
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper studies the association between price of crude oil and the Pakistani Rupee-US Dollar exchange. Asymmetric power autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (APARCH) model is used to measure the influence of oil price on the nominal exchange rate using daily data of extreme oil price volatility (2006 – 2013). This model is found to fit the data well and the results reveal a high degree of volatility persistence and leverage effect in returns. This study also establishes a positive association between currency exchange rate and oil price. These findings provide insight into the transmission link between the global oil market and exchange rate.
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巴基斯坦原油价格-汇率关系
本文研究了原油价格与巴基斯坦卢比兑美元汇率之间的关系。采用不对称功率自回归条件异方差(APARCH)模型,利用2006 - 2013年石油价格极端波动日数据,对石油价格对名义汇率的影响进行了测度。该模型与数据拟合良好,结果显示收益具有较高的波动性、持久性和杠杆效应。本研究亦建立了货币汇率与油价之间的正相关关系。这些发现对全球石油市场与汇率之间的传导联系提供了深入的见解。
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