Probability density functions for power output of Wind Electric Conversion Systems

M. Mohanpurkar, R. Ramakumar
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

Probabilistic models for the power output of Wind Electric Conversion Systems (WECS) are considered. Wind speeds are modeled using Weibull distribution and probability density function for the power output of WECS is derived using the transformation theorem. Variable portion of the power output characteristic is modeled using different functions and the results are compared. Probability density functions for the combined power output of two, four and eight systems are presented and discussed.
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风电转换系统输出功率的概率密度函数
考虑了风电转换系统输出功率的概率模型。采用威布尔分布对风速进行建模,利用变换定理推导了风力发电系统输出功率的概率密度函数。利用不同的函数对功率输出特性的可变部分进行了建模,并对结果进行了比较。给出并讨论了二系统、四系统和八系统联合输出功率的概率密度函数。
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