Fiscal policy and sectorial performance: Emphasis on the Nigeria insurance sector

Kenneth C Kama
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Abstract

One of the significant measures of economic development is the performance of its individual sectors. The insurance industry being an essential part of the economy’s financial sector with inherent potentials to drive economic expansion deserves government consideration in its fiscal policies. This study aimed at examining the effect of government fiscal policy on the performance of the insurance sector using autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model on data from CBN bulletin 2020 and Federal Inland Revenue Service report from 1994 to 2020. The result of the study indicated that total tax revenue has a negative relationship with insurance premium both in the short run and in the long run. While government expenditure has a positive effect on insurance performance in the short run and in the long run. The co-integrating equation also signified that for any movement into disequilibrium is corrected within one period. The study therefore recommend among others that government should utilize its expansionary fiscal policy in a manner that it will create an enabling environment for sectorial development, improve investments and relatively increase the activities of the insurance sector.
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财政政策和部门绩效:重点介绍尼日利亚保险部门
衡量经济发展的重要指标之一是各个部门的表现。保险业作为经济金融的重要组成部分,具有带动经济增长的内在潜力,值得政府在制定财政政策时予以考虑。本研究采用自回归分配滞后(ARDL)模型,对CBN公告2020和联邦税务局1994 - 2020年的报告数据进行分析,探讨政府财政政策对保险业绩效的影响。研究结果表明,无论从短期还是长期来看,税收总额与保费均呈负相关关系。而政府支出在短期和长期对保险绩效均有正向影响。协整方程还表明,任何进入不平衡状态的运动都在一个周期内得到纠正。因此,除其他外,该研究建议政府应利用其扩张性财政政策,为部门发展创造有利环境,改善投资并相对增加保险部门的活动。
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