Vectors of extremism across the Canada-US border

C. Leuprecht, T. Hataley, D. Skillicorn
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Abstract

The idea that Canadian-based terrorists pose a threat to the United States continues to resonate with Americans. We subject this hypothesis to empirical testing by analyzing terrorist-related activity across the Canada-US border. Drawing on 13 cases with 27 terrorist connections, the evidence substantiates the presence of cross-border interactions, but does not confirm common perceptions about America's northern border: there is no consistent threat emanating from Canada. Rather, differentials in the availability of ideas and resources drive threat vectors across the border in both directions. The bulk of violent extremists exploiting these cross-border markets of opportunity do so to propagate terrorism beyond North America.
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美加边境极端主义的载体
以加拿大为基地的恐怖分子对美国构成威胁的观点继续在美国人中引起共鸣。我们通过分析美加边境的恐怖主义相关活动,对这一假设进行了实证检验。通过对13个与27个恐怖分子有关联的案件的分析,这些证据证实了跨境互动的存在,但并没有证实人们对美国北部边境的普遍看法:没有来自加拿大的持续威胁。相反,在思想和资源的可得性方面的差异驱使威胁媒介从两个方向跨越边界。大部分暴力极端分子利用这些跨境市场的机会在北美以外传播恐怖主义。
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