Analysis of Navigation Safety Regarding Tankers in Narrow Waterways

Nermin Hasanspahić, V. Frančić, I. Rudan, Lovro Maglić
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Sailing of tanker ships in specific navigation areas, such as narrow waterways, is a particularly delicate navigational venture, where one of the greatest related risks is grounding. Grounding of a tanker in a narrow waterway is an event that can cause many adverse consequences, the most important among them being environmental pollution, explosion or onboard fire damaging the ship, injuries and lost lives of crewmembers. Factors affecting the safety of tanker navigation in narrow waterways can be principally divided into geometric, traffic, meteorological and oceanological factors, ship design factors and marine equipment faults as well as human-related factors. With a view to minimizing the possibility of grounding or contact, the assessment of risks is to be considered indispensable and primarily aimed at influencing accident probability and/or consequence factors as its most important objective. The paper analyses the safety of tanker navigation in narrow waterways based on the assessment of risk of grounding. The event influential probability factors that are taken into consideration comprise the narrow waterway category, meteorological and oceanological conditions, traffic density and VTS coverage of the navigable area, while factors such as ship speed, bottom type, hull quality and loading condition are factors related to consequences. Using the risk assessment matrix, estimated values used for evaluation of the safety of tanker navigation in narrow waterways are assigned to probability factors and factors of consequences.
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狭窄航道油轮航行安全分析
油轮在特定的航行区域航行,如狭窄的水道,是一项特别微妙的航行冒险,其中最大的相关风险之一是搁浅。油轮在狭窄航道上搁浅会造成许多不良后果,其中最重要的是环境污染、爆炸或船上火灾对船舶造成损害,对船员造成伤害和生命损失。影响油轮在狭窄航道航行安全的因素主要有几何因素、交通因素、气象海洋因素、船舶设计因素、船舶设备故障因素以及人为因素。为了尽量减少接地或接触的可能性,风险评估被认为是必不可少的,其主要目的是影响事故概率和/或后果因素,作为其最重要的目标。本文在对油轮搁浅风险进行评估的基础上,分析了油轮在狭窄航道航行的安全性。考虑的事件影响概率因素包括狭窄航道类别、气象海洋条件、交通密度和通航区域VTS覆盖范围,而船速、船底类型、船体质量和装载情况等因素是与后果相关的因素。利用风险评估矩阵,将评估油轮在狭窄航道航行安全的估计值分配给概率因子和后果因子。
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