Departures From Optimality When Pursuing Multiple Approach or Avoidance Goals

T. Ballard, Gillian Yeo, A. Neal, S. Farrell
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引用次数: 16

Abstract

This article examines how people depart from optimality during multiple-goal pursuit. The authors operationalized optimality using dynamic programming, which is a mathematical model used to calculate expected value in multistage decisions. Drawing on prospect theory, they predicted that people are risk-averse when pursuing approach goals and are therefore more likely to prioritize the goal in the best position than the dynamic programming model suggests is optimal. The authors predicted that people are risk-seeking when pursuing avoidance goals and are therefore more likely to prioritize the goal in the worst position than is optimal. These predictions were supported by results from an experimental paradigm in which participants made a series of prioritization decisions while pursuing either 2 approach or 2 avoidance goals. This research demonstrates the usefulness of using decision-making theories and normative models to understand multiple-goal pursuit.
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当追求多个接近或回避目标时偏离最优性
本文考察了人们在追求多目标时是如何偏离最优的。动态规划是一种用于计算多阶段决策期望值的数学模型。根据前景理论,他们预测人们在追求接近目标时是厌恶风险的,因此更有可能优先考虑最佳位置的目标,而不是动态规划模型所建议的最佳位置。作者预测,人们在追求逃避目标时是在寻求风险,因此更有可能优先考虑最糟糕的目标,而不是最优的目标。这些预测得到了一个实验范式的结果的支持,在这个实验范式中,参与者在追求两个接近目标或两个回避目标的同时做出一系列优先级决定。本研究证明了运用决策理论和规范模型来理解多目标追求的有效性。
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