Presence and Persistence of Poverty in U.S. Tax Data

Jeff Larrimore, Jacob A. Mortenson, David Splinter
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

This paper presents new estimates of the level and persistence of poverty among U.S. households since the Great Recession. We build annual household data files using U.S. income tax filings between 2007 and 2018. These data allow us to track individuals over time and measure how tax policies affect poverty trends. Using an after-tax household income measure, we estimate that while roughly 1 in 10 people are in poverty in any given year, over 4 in 10 people spent at least one year in poverty between 2007 and 2018. This implies substantial mobility in and out of poverty—for example, 41 percent of those in poverty in 2007 were out of poverty in the following year. Others spend multiple years in poverty or escape poverty only to fall back into it. Of those in poverty in 2007, one-third were in poverty for at least half of the years through 2018.
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美国税收数据中贫困的存在和持续
本文提出了自经济大衰退以来美国家庭贫困水平和持续时间的新估计。我们使用2007年至2018年的美国所得税申报文件建立了年度家庭数据文件。这些数据使我们能够长期跟踪个人,并衡量税收政策如何影响贫困趋势。使用税后家庭收入衡量标准,我们估计,虽然在任何一年都有大约十分之一的人处于贫困状态,但在2007年至2018年期间,超过四分之一的人至少有一年处于贫困状态。这意味着脱贫和脱贫的流动性很大——例如,2007年41%的贫困人口在次年脱贫。另一些人在贫困中生活多年,或者摆脱贫困后又重新陷入贫困。在2007年的贫困人口中,三分之一的人至少在截至2018年的一半时间里处于贫困状态。
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