Modelling Production Cost Scenarios for Biofuels and Fossil Fuels in Europe

G. Festel, Martin Würmseher, C. Rammer, E. Boles, M. Bellof
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引用次数: 94

Abstract

This paper presents the results of a calculation model for biofuel production costs in 2015 and 2020 based on raw material price projections and considering scale and learning effects. Distinguishing six types of biofuels, the paper finds that scale economies and learning effects are critical for 2nd generation biofuels to become competitive. In case these effects can be utilized, cost saving potentials for 2nd generation biofuels are significant.
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模拟欧洲生物燃料和化石燃料的生产成本情景
本文提出了基于原材料价格预测并考虑规模效应和学习效应的2015年和2020年生物燃料生产成本计算模型的结果。通过区分六种类型的生物燃料,本文发现规模经济和学习效应对第二代生物燃料具有竞争力至关重要。如果这些效果能够被利用,第二代生物燃料的成本节约潜力是巨大的。
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