Companies Products Demands Forecasting using Learning Fuzzy Cellular Automata Model. Case Study: Barij Essence Pharmaceutical Company

M. Golchin
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Abstract

Forecasting the demand of customers has a main role for managing the cost of marketing. Therefore, using a tool for forecasting the demand is vital for companies. There are many tools for forecasting and predicting the demand as time series. In this study a new hybrid model which contains fuzzy inference system and cellular automata has been developed. The results showed that, considering the information of more neighbor customers may cause more reliable forecasting and more complicated, fuzzy system may cause better performance for predicting the demand.
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基于学习模糊元胞自动机模型的企业产品需求预测。案例研究:百日香精制药公司
预测顾客的需求对管理营销成本具有重要作用。因此,使用预测需求的工具对公司来说是至关重要的。有许多工具可以预测和预测需求的时间序列。本文提出了一种包含模糊推理系统和元胞自动机的混合模型。结果表明,考虑到更多的邻居客户信息可能会导致更可靠的预测和更复杂,模糊系统可能会导致更好的需求预测性能。
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